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Hurricane Elsa (2021)

Hurricane Elsa was a Category 1 hurricane at its peak, with 86 mph winds and a lowest pressure of 991 mb, per NOAA's National Hurricane Center. Modeled winds reached tropical-storm force (39 mph) at 5 of the cities we track; the strongest was Savannah, GA, with a modeled peak gust of 51 mph.

Peak strength86 mph winds (1-minute)
Category 1
Cities with tropical-storm-force windsModeled, of the cities we track
5
LandfallsFirst July 5, 2021
4
Lowest pressure
991 mb

Track, wind field and cities

Select a piece of the track or a city for details.

  • Depression or weaker
  • Tropical storm
  • Hurricane, Category 1 or 2
  • Major hurricane, Category 3 to 5
  • Landfall
  • City (larger ring, stronger modeled gust)
  • Modeled wind field, 39 to 111 mph sustained (darker, stronger; orange 111 mph+)
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center best track (HURDAT2). City winds and the wind field are modeled.

The shaded areas are where our model puts Hurricane Elsa’s sustained winds over open land at 39 mph or more (tropical-storm force), 58, 74 (hurricane force) and 111 mph (major hurricane force) at some point along its track. Modeled, not measured. How we model hurricane winds

Landfalls

  1. July 5, 2021, tropical storm at 63 mph, in Cuba
  2. July 7, 2021, tropical storm at 63 mph, 29.8°N, 83.5°W
  3. July 9, 2021, tropical storm at 58 mph, 40.9°N, 72.3°W
  4. July 9, 2021, tropical storm at 58 mph, 41.4°N, 71.7°W

Modeled winds at cities (5)

Estimated peak winds for open, flat ground at each city’s center. Not measurements. How we model hurricane winds

CityPeak gustSustainedClosest passPeak
Savannah, GA51 mph41 mph58 milesJul 8, 2021, 12:00 AM EDT
Myrtle Beach, SC50 mph41 mph90 milesJul 8, 2021, 10:30 AM EDT
Virginia Beach, VA50 mph40 mph56 milesJul 8, 2021, 10:15 PM EDT
Wilmington, NC49 mph40 mph107 milesJul 8, 2021, 1:15 PM EDT
Fayetteville, NC49 mph40 mph21 milesJul 8, 2021, 2:15 PM EDT

Best track (43 positions)

TimeStatusWindPressurePosition
Jun 30, 18:00 UTCTropical depression35 mph1008 mb9.4°N, 42.8°W
Jul 1, 00:00 UTCTropical storm40 mph1007 mb9.3°N, 45.3°W
Jul 1, 06:00 UTCTropical storm40 mph1006 mb9.4°N, 47.7°W
Jul 1, 12:00 UTCTropical storm46 mph1005 mb9.9°N, 50.2°W
Jul 1, 18:00 UTCTropical storm52 mph1004 mb10.7°N, 52.6°W
Jul 2, 00:00 UTCTropical storm58 mph1002 mb11.5°N, 55.0°W
Jul 2, 06:00 UTCTropical storm63 mph1000 mb12.3°N, 57.3°W
Jul 2, 12:00 UTCCategory 1 hurricane75 mph995 mb13.0°N, 59.8°W
Jul 2, 18:00 UTCCategory 1 hurricane86 mph991 mb13.8°N, 62.4°W
Jul 3, 00:00 UTCCategory 1 hurricane81 mph995 mb14.7°N, 65.1°W
Jul 3, 06:00 UTCCategory 1 hurricane75 mph998 mb15.7°N, 67.9°W
Jul 3, 12:00 UTCTropical storm69 mph1000 mb16.6°N, 70.3°W
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