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Hurricane Michael (2018)

Hurricane Michael was a Category 5 hurricane at its peak, with 161 mph winds and a lowest pressure of 919 mb, per NOAA's National Hurricane Center. Modeled winds reached tropical-storm force (39 mph) at 7 of the cities we track; the strongest was Tallahassee, FL, with a modeled peak gust of 65 mph.

Peak strength161 mph winds (1-minute)
Category 5
Cities with tropical-storm-force windsModeled, of the cities we track
7
LandfallsFirst October 10, 2018
1
Lowest pressure
919 mb

Track, wind field and cities

Select a piece of the track or a city for details.

  • Depression or weaker
  • Tropical storm
  • Hurricane, Category 1 or 2
  • Major hurricane, Category 3 to 5
  • Landfall
  • City (larger ring, stronger modeled gust)
  • Modeled wind field, 39 to 111 mph sustained (darker, stronger; orange 111 mph+)
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center best track (HURDAT2). City winds and the wind field are modeled.

The shaded areas are where our model puts Hurricane Michael’s sustained winds over open land at 39 mph or more (tropical-storm force), 58, 74 (hurricane force) and 111 mph (major hurricane force) at some point along its track. Modeled, not measured. How we model hurricane winds

Landfalls

  1. October 10, 2018, Category 5 at 161 mph, about 81 miles from Tallahassee, FL

Modeled winds at cities (7)

Estimated peak winds for open, flat ground at each city’s center. Not measurements. How we model hurricane winds

CityPeak gustSustainedClosest passPeak
Tallahassee, FL65 mph53 mph50 milesOct 10, 2018, 4:30 PM EDT
Virginia Beach, VA60 mph48 mph14 milesOct 11, 2018, 10:15 PM EDT
Raleigh, NC59 mph48 mph19 milesOct 11, 2018, 4:15 PM EDT
Durham, NC59 mph48 mph4 milesOct 11, 2018, 4:15 PM EDT
Augusta, GA51 mph42 mph20 milesOct 11, 2018, 5:30 AM EDT
Columbia, SC51 mph42 mph36 milesOct 11, 2018, 9:15 AM EDT
Fayetteville, NC49 mph40 mph57 milesOct 11, 2018, 3:45 PM EDT

What happened

After strengthening rapidly over the Gulf of Mexico, Michael made landfall near Mexico Beach and Tyndall Air Force Base, southeast of Panama City, Florida, at about 12:30 p.m. CDT on October 10, 2018, as a Category 5 hurricane with 140-knot (161 mph) winds.1 Hurricane-force winds continued near the center across the central Florida Panhandle and southwest Georgia, with hurricane-force gusts as far inland as Albany.1

Storm surge flooding reached 9 to 14 feet above ground from just southeast of Tyndall Air Force Base to Port St. Joe, highest in Mexico Beach, with 6 to 9 feet along the Big Bend coast from Indian Pass to Keaton Beach and 4 to 6 feet around Panama City.1 The Tyndall Air Force Base station measured a 121-knot (139 mph) gust before it stopped reporting, Donalsonville, Georgia, measured 100 knots (115 mph) and Marianna, Florida, 89 knots (102 mph).1

In Mexico Beach, 1,584 of the town's 1,692 buildings were damaged and 809 of them destroyed.1 Bay County had more than 45,000 structures damaged and more than 1,500 destroyed, and Gulf County had 985 structures destroyed and more than 1,200 with major damage.1 Inland, Jackson County, Florida, reported 400 buildings destroyed and 600 with major damage, Seminole County, Georgia, reported damage to 99 percent of its homes, and Dougherty County, Georgia, reported 3,000 residential structures damaged, 49 of them destroyed.1 NHC counts 16 direct deaths, 7 of them in Florida, and 43 indirect deaths in Florida, and cites an NCEI estimate of about $25 billion in US damage, including $18.4 billion in Florida, $4.7 billion in Georgia and $1.1 billion in southeast Alabama.1

Best track (38 positions)

TimeStatusWindPressurePosition
Oct 6, 18:00 UTCLow29 mph1006 mb17.8°N, 86.6°W
Oct 7, 00:00 UTCLow29 mph1004 mb18.1°N, 86.9°W
Oct 7, 06:00 UTCTropical depression35 mph1004 mb18.4°N, 86.8°W
Oct 7, 12:00 UTCTropical storm40 mph1003 mb18.8°N, 86.4°W
Oct 7, 18:00 UTCTropical storm52 mph999 mb19.1°N, 85.7°W
Oct 8, 00:00 UTCTropical storm58 mph996 mb19.7°N, 85.5°W
Oct 8, 06:00 UTCTropical storm69 mph984 mb20.2°N, 85.4°W
Oct 8, 12:00 UTCCategory 1 hurricane75 mph982 mb20.9°N, 85.1°W
Oct 8, 18:00 UTCCategory 1 hurricane86 mph977 mb21.7°N, 85.1°W
Oct 9, 00:00 UTCCategory 2 hurricane98 mph971 mb22.7°N, 85.2°W
Oct 9, 06:00 UTCCategory 2 hurricane98 mph973 mb23.7°N, 85.8°W
Oct 9, 12:00 UTCCategory 2 hurricane104 mph968 mb24.6°N, 86.2°W
Show all 38